Friday, May 28, 2010

Tories continue to lead Grits

The CBC News network is reporting the results of this week’s EKOS poll of voter intentions. When asked who they would vote for if an election were to be held tomorrow, 33.9 per cent (down from last week’s 34.4 per cent) of the respondents said their choice would be the Conservatives, while 50.4 per cent said the country is moving in the right direction. According to the poll, the Liberals up slightly at 25.7 per cent (last week 25.1), and at 16.4 per cent, the NDP were up 1.1 per cent.

While the Liberals did not lose ground in this most recent survey, they are faring little better than they did in the dark days under Stéphane Dion when they sank to 24 per cent. So the bad news continues for the Grits under Michael Ignatieff’s leadership. So much for the turnaround we were given to expect when Peter Donolo was parachuted in to take over the reins from Ignatieff’s chief of staff Ian Davey.

One of Ignatieff’s own caucus members was quoted recently as saying, “He [Ignatieff] doesn’t know what the hell he’s doing because he’s been 35 years out of the country.” But that not the whole story.

Michael Ignatieff is just not a politician—certainly not one who can lead a party in a front-rank democracy as diverse as Canada. He has lived too far above the crowd to really “get it” about what Canadians want and need.  He can’t give off-the-cuff answers without getting himself into hot water because he doesn’t relate well with average people. He can’t see the world through their eyes, something John Chrétien did so well. He bounces back and forth between being the man of action and the deep thinker—and does a hash of it in both roles.

So do Ignatieff and Donolo hang in there and pray that something dramatic happens that will allow them to dig themselves out of the hole they’ve dug? Or, does Donolo jump ship before he’s tarred with the brush of Ignatieff’s political failure? Who knows, perhaps Ignatieff will dump Donolo to perpetuate the myth that it’s not all about Ignatieff’s leadership.


[EKOS randomly surveyed 2,178 people by telephone between May 19 and May 25. The poll is considered accurate to within plus or minus 2.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. See CBC News story here.]

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© 2010 Russell G. Campbell
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1 comment:

  1. How long will that lead last now that the cost of security for the G8/20 photo-op have been revealed? The Tories were able to sustain their lead based on the fact that they were better stewards of the public's tax dollars than were the Grits. Now that this fallacy has been exposed, I suspect that lead in the polls will dwindle.