New EKOS Research seat projections are characterized by Globe and Mail journalist/CTV host, Jane Taber, as poor news for the Conservative party of Canada. Similar views were much in evidence last evening on CTV’s daily political show, Power Play.
Ms. Taber’s entire analysis of the projection centres around the fact the Tories would likely win a reduced minority if a general election were held—114 seats versus the 145 they now have. Much is made of the fact that this is bad news for the governing party. According to last week’s EKOS projection, however, the Liberals would likely have won 122 seats compared to their currently-held 77. So the new projection is a notable turnaround in Tory fortunes.
It is such a shame to see Taber’s view jaundiced by her oft-expressed bias against the Stephen Harper Conservatives. Given the extensive coverage by Taber of the Liberal rise and Tory fall in polls taken since prorogation was announced by Prime Minister Harper, I’d have thought reasoned—never mind objective—analysis of this recent seat projection would zero in on the evidence that suggests the Tory post-prorogation fall in favour has been stemmed, and that anti-prorogation sentiment seems to have run its course.
That is the unmistakable message I get from this seat projection.
The government’s solid performance over the past year coupled with its competent response to the Haiti earthquake seems to have caught the notice of ordinary Canadians. And despite the hammering the Tories have taken in the mainstream media from the likes of Ms. Taber, potential voters are pulling back from the prospect of an Michael Ignatieff-led government.
And thank God for that.
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© 2009 Russell G. Campbell
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