Wednesday, November 5, 2008

Record numbers voted last night

With hundreds of thousands of absentee and provisional ballots yet to be counted, the popular vote is estimated at  133.3 million as of this morning, usmapsurpassing the 2004 record when 123 million voters turned out in that election.

Based on early figures, 62.5 percent of eligible voters cast ballots—the highest percentage since the 62.6 per cent figure recorded in the 1964. That figure will climb, however, and the final numbers will almost certainly set a new record.



  1. I'm sorry where do you get these numbers?

    With 97% of precincts reporting according to CNN the vote tally is (the remaining two states are Washington and Oregon which are only ~60% done):

    Obama: 63.7 million
    McCain: 56.3 million

    As opposed to 2004 where the final results were (by wiki)

    Bush: 62.0 million
    Kerry: 58.0 million

    So.. umm.. in 2004 120 million people voted between Bush and Kerry. In 2008, 120 million voted between McCain and Obama. Wow.. Obama really brought out millions of new voters.. umm.. right?

    So.. umm.. if 133.3 million people voted then umm.. where did 13 million votes go? Even assuming that the last 3% represents 3 million votes you're still only slightly above 2004 in terms of overall votes. And considering population and demographic changes (older population more likely to vote) is it really that significant?

  2. I gave my source. Go argue with them.

  3. Ahhh okay I see it now, I was looking for it in the text. My bad.

    As for arguing about it:

    You posted this uncritically on your blog and without checking the actual numbers apparently. A cursory glance at the actual numbers was all it took for me to realize that people were overstating the case greatly and that the predictions of 'record turnout' aren't panning out.

    If 13 million votes appear in the last 2% of precincts then sure there was record turnout. Otherwise this year is going to be on par with 2004.. at ~55%. But if the media believed that there were still 13 million votes to be counted I'm sure they wouldn't be calling states like Indiana.