Green Party Leader Elizabeth May is the wildcard in the upcoming leaders’ debate.
May is in the best position to go for broke. What does she really have to lose? As things stand now, she won’t win her own seat and her party will be very lucky indeed to win even one seat on October 14.
With little or nothing to lose and an enormous amount to gain, May must be salivating at the chance to use the debate as a forum to attack Stephen Harper, a man she apparently despises. She is free to concentrate all her efforts to damage the prime minister.
May’s political mentor, Stéphane Dion, has a lot to lose and much to gain, and his plight is complicated because he has incumbent MPs to protect. Dion also must defend and attack on two fronts: Jack Layton and Stephen Harper.
Both May and Dion have shown a penchant for damaging themselves while attacking others—we’ll watch for this. My guess is that May will go overboard and Dion will get no better than a tie.
May going overboard will solidify her base—they like that sort of stuff, but won’t sway too many others. If Dion can only tie, Stephen Harper wins.
This is a great showcase for Jack Layton. A really good showing by him will be at the expense of Dion, assuming the prime minister holds his own.
A really great performance by Layton will just about guarantee a majority for the Conservatives and “official opposition party” status for the NDP. Imagine: Jack and Olivia ensconced at Stornoway [shudder].
I can hardly wait.