Great news for Tory supporters. Stephen Harper's Conservative Party of Canada is moving ahead in the polls. One poll even has them at 41%—generally considered majority territory. Cautious optimism is definitely called for here, but read on.
According to the National Post:
- An Ekos poll put public support for the Conservatives at 36% compared to 26% for the Liberals. The New Democrats — who are competing with the Liberals for the same bloc of voters — were at 19%.
(The survey of 4,367 decided voters carried out between Sept 8 and 11 is considered accurate to within 1.5%age points, 19 times out of 20.)
- A Harris-Decima poll broke with that trend, however, and put the Conservatives at 41% and the Liberals at 26%, with the New Democrats on 14 points. A Harris-Decima poll released Monday had put the Conservatives ahead of the Liberals by 36 points to 28.
(Harris-Decima surveyed 1,188 decided or leaning voters from Sept. 8-11, a sample size that carries a margin of error of 2.9 points 19 times out of 20.)
- A Nanos Research daily tracking poll put the Conservatives on 38%, up one point from the previous day, with the Liberals down a point on 31%. The New Democrats were up one point at 14%.
(The survey of 975 decided voters is considered accurate to within 3.2 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.)